Predicting the speed of technology introduction (Dr. Jordi Robert-Ribes)

The Bass model of technology diffusion. Interactive prediction, past innovations examples, formulas, references.


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Freezer 1949-1959
[Source: Lilien (1999), http://www.ebusiness.xerox.com/isbm/dscgi/ds.py/Get/File-89/7-1999.pdf]


Examples:
Air Conditioner Room air conditioner Telephone answering device Black & White TV
Black & White TV (2) Cable television Calculators Camcorder
CD player 1986-1996 Cellular telephone 1986-1996 Electric coffee maker 1955-1965 Colour TV
Colour TV (2) Colour TV (3) Colour TV (4) CT Scanner
Dishwasher 1949-1974 Clothes dryer 1950-1960 Freezer 1949-1959 Mammography 1965-1976
Microwave oven 1972-1990 Overhead Projectors PC Home PC 1982-1988
Radio 1922-1934 Refrigerator Toaster 1923-1979 Tractors (thousands of units) 1921-1931
Ultrasound Ultrasound imaging 1965-1977 Video Cassette Recorder 1981-1994


Jordi Robert-Ribes ©2004